По мне, так это официальная позиция китайского руководства: танцуй , не танцуй а сдавать технологии придётся. Причем они подумают после их получения. Какая жестокая близорукость.
Russia's practice of "removing the east wall to make up the west wall" shows that it is a temporary solution rather than a permanent solution
Практика России по «сносу восточной стены для возведения западной стены» показывает, что это скорее временное, чем постоянное решение.
The West cuts off supplies, and Russia is forced to dismantle the plane: can only ask China for help?
The Western sanctions this time show that Russia has nowhere to go. After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the West imposed comprehensive sanctions on Russia.
Export control is a very important part. For semiconductors alone, global exports to Russia have plummeted by 90%.
Under such a harsh environment, Russia's civil aviation industry has encountered an unprecedented crisis.
Because Russia has not only cancelled its aircraft orders, but also cannot buy foreign aircraft parts.
At the end of last year, nearly 80 percent of Aeroflot's fleet consisted of Western Boeing and Airbus planes, data show.
In the civil aviation industry, aircraft maintenance is very critical.
Without Western aircraft parts, Russia's civil aviation industry has become "cooked without rice", and there is no way to repair the passenger planes that are still in use.
Some people will say that Russia can use its own Sukhoi Superjet 100 (short-haul narrow-body airliner) and MS-21 (medium-range narrow-body airliner).
However, many parts of the two "Russian-made" passenger planes still come from the West.
For example, the Sukhoi Superjet 100 uses an engine jointly developed with France, and the MS - 21 uses an American engine.
In June, U.S. Commerce Secretary Raimondo said Russia could be forced to ground one-half to two-thirds of its commercial planes over the next four years in order to dismantle them for parts. Raimondo did point out a "clear way" for Russia: dismantle the plane and ensure the supply of spare parts.
The simpler one is to demolish the east wall and repair the west wall; the more ruthless one is to demolish the undamaged wall and repair the other damaged walls.
Russia, for example, dismantled an almost brand new A350 to meet the needs of other aircraft.
In addition, several 737s and A320s will also be dismantled for spare parts.
Russia's practice of "removing the east wall to make up the west wall" shows that it is a temporary solution rather than a permanent solution.
The aircraft is constantly being worn out, more and more parts need to be replaced, and fewer and fewer aircraft are available. In the end, I am afraid that there will be "no wall available". At present, Russia has two ways to go: The first is to take the road of independence and realize the "localization" of aircraft parts.
Although Russia's aviation manufacturing industry is very rich, and it can even compete with the United States at its peak (the former Soviet Union), it is undeniable that Russia's aviation manufacturing industry is no longer as brave as it used to be. Here is a set of data, Russia's United Aviation Manufacturing Company delivered 158 aircraft in 2014, and only 75 aircraft were built in 2019.
Changes in Russian aircraft production
This shows that the Russian aviation industry is in decline.
At this time, it is naturally more difficult to realize the "localization" of components.
The general trend is like this. In terms of operation, the "localization" of aircraft parts requires money, technology, and the market.
If the fully autonomous aviation manufacturing industry is compared to a baby, Russia, a mother, "cannot give birth" due to lack of funds, and the market is too small and "cannot be raised". The second is to seek foreign aid and find partners. The most direct way is to save the country through the curve and import parts and components from non-Western countries.
This is very difficult.
Because important parts are numbered, Boeing and Airbus need to be informed in advance which country they are exported to and which customer they are supplied to.
If it is rashly exported to Russia, it will also incur secondary sanctions from Western countries.
For example, on June 28, according to the U.S. Federal Register, the U.S. Department of Commerce will also include 36 companies from China, Russia, the United Arab Emirates, Lithuania, Pakistan, Singapore, the United Kingdom, Uzbekistan and Vietnam that are suspected of violating the ban on exporting to Russia. Entity added to blacklist for further sanctions against Russia. Therefore, under the Western ban, it is impossible for most countries to risk supplying components to Russia.
At this moment, Russia's only reliable foreign aid may only be China.
This is because China and Russia already have a very good foundation for cooperation in the aviation industry: CR929. CR929 is a large-scale commercial long-range wide-body passenger aircraft project jointly developed by China and Russia. Compared with the familiar C919, the CR929 has a longer range, up to 12,000 kilometers; it has more space and can accommodate 280 passengers. It can be said that CR929 is an upgraded version of C919. As early as 2014, COMAC signed a memorandum of cooperation with Russia's United Aviation Manufacturing Group.
In 2016, COMAC signed a joint venture contract with Russia's United Aviation Manufacturing Group.
In 2017, the Sino-Russian long-range wide-body airliner was officially named CR929.
In 2018, the CR929 1:1 demonstration prototype made its debut at the International Air Show.
While the CR929 project is steadily advancing, Russia has retreated.
In early July this year, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Borisov publicly stated that although the project is still in progress, Russia is reducing its participation in the joint construction of the CR929 project with China. Russia has this mentality, and it is more from a psychological gap.
In the cooperation with China, Russia found that China's role was increasing, while its own weight was decreasing. Therefore, it was afraid of losing the dominance of CR929, and then had the intention of retreating. The Western sanctions this time show that Russia has nowhere to go.
The current international situation is so complicated. The United States is wielding the stick of "long-arm jurisdiction" and using the supply chain to impose sanctions, which makes the cooperation between China and Russia CR929 more urgent. Russia should put aside its prejudice and wariness and wholeheartedly cooperate with China.
In the long run, CR929 should give priority to suppliers from China and Russia, and ultimately achieve full autonomy and control.
It is true that the pattern of the world's civil aviation industry cannot be changed by a single aircraft.
The practical significance of CR929 is not to "completely" replace Airbus and Boeing, but to "can" replace Airbus and Boeing.
Offense is often the best defense.
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lenta.ru
